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Stenhousemuir FC vs. Heart of Midlothian FC - First Team to Score
kalshi
polymarket

Who will score first?

Volume:
$22,423

Reg Time: Heart of Midlothian

 - Kalshi

Reg Time: Heart of Midlothian - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 11, 2026

Closed: Sep 11, 5:03 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Reg Time: Heart of Midlothian

View
100%
24%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$17,493
N/A
N/A
$8,127
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Reg Time: Stenhousemuir

View
0%
80%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,312
N/A
N/A
$3,260
Settled
No
kalshi

Reg Time: Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,618
N/A
N/A
$1,132
Settled
No
polymarket

Stenhousemuir FC

View
0%
62%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Heart of Midlothian FC

View
100%
11%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Neither

View
0%
45%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This prediction group asks which team will score the first goal in a Scottish League Cup match between Stenhousemuir FC and Heart of Midlothian FC. Resolution depends on the first goal scored within the 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket includes a 'Neither' outcome for a scoreless game, while Kalshi's logic requires a team to score, resolving to Yes for a tie.Hero tip: Consider the likelihood of a 0-0 draw. If you believe it's plausible, Polymarket's 'Neither' option offers a valuable hedge. If you believe a goal *will* be scored, Kalshi's market is simpler.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to Stenhousemuir FC or Heart of Midlothian FC if they score first within 90 minutes + stoppage time, or 'Neither' if no goal is scored. Also accounts for postponement/cancellation resolving to 'Neither'. "This market will resolve to "Neither" if neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time."
  • Kalshi: Resolves to Yes if Stenhousemuir or Heart of Midlothian wins or if the game ends in a tie after 90 minutes + stoppage time. "If Stenhousemuir wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Heart of Midlothian wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie is the result...then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming match between Stenhousemuir FC and Heart of Midlothian FC, scheduled for September 11, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Stenhousemuir FC" if Stenhousemuir FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Heart of Midlothian FC" if Heart of Midlothian FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Kalshi

If Stenhousemuir wins the Stenhousemuir vs Heart of Midlothian professional Scottish League Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Sep 11, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If Heart of Midlothian wins the Stenhousemuir vs Heart of Midlothian professional Scottish League Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Sep 11, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie is the result of the Stenhousemuir vs Heart of Midlothian professional Scottish League Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Sep 11, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the consensus view on the Stenhousemuir vs. Hearts first-to-score market. Currently, the aggregated volume across both platforms is $22,423, with $22,271 traded in the last 24 hours. The dashboard displays probabilities implied by the trading activity, allowing you to see which outcome – Stenhousemuir, Hearts, or neither – is currently favored by the crowd. This provides a real-time assessment of expectations for which team will score first in the match, reflecting the collective wisdom of market participants.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the underlying mechanisms. Sportsbooks set odds to maximize profit, incorporating a margin, while prediction markets are driven by genuine belief and information aggregation. This can lead to more accurate probabilities, especially when a significant amount of volume is traded. However, sportsbook odds can be influenced by public betting patterns, creating some overlap. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive understanding of the event’s potential outcomes for this market.