TOTAL VOLUME:
$142.4b
24H VOL:
$104,871,197
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,643,541,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,592,701,755
469,827
Markets across
35,657
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,899
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
38%
VS.
Kalshi:
62%
Which game will be Steam's weekly top seller?
AION 2
- Kalshi
AION 2 - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Oct 20, 2026
Time left: 05d:09h:20m
Will AION 2 be #1 on Steam's Weekly Top Sellers - Top 100 products by revenue list for Oct 13 - Oct 20, 2026?
$
Description
This event tracks which game or software title achieves the highest sales ranking on Steam's US platform during a specific week. Participants can speculate on whether a particular title will lead in revenue generation over that period, reflecting consumer preferences and market trends.
Kalshi
The event determines the weekly top-selling title on Steam's USA platform for the period of October 13 to October 20, 2026, based on revenue generated within the Top 100 products list. Each market corresponds to a specific game or software title, and the market resolves to 'Yes' if that title secures the #1 position on the specified list for the defined week. All markets share the same evaluation criteria and timeframe, with the outcome dependent solely on Steam's published sales rankings. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with Steam, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Frequently asked questions
Comparing prediction market odds to analyst forecasts reveals how collective intelligence stacks up against expert opinion. Often, this market demonstrates a different perspective than traditional gaming analysts, potentially factoring in a wider range of data points and community sentiment. While analysts may focus on pre-release hype or critical reception, the market reflects real-time purchasing decisions and player interest. Discrepancies can highlight overlooked factors or differing interpretations of available information, offering a unique view beyond conventional gaming predictions.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the probability of a game being the top seller. The price of each contract reflects the implied probability of that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the aggregated wisdom of the crowd. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market odds are constantly updated based on the latest information and participant sentiment, providing a real-time assessment of the most likely outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the weekly Steam top seller charts are released and verifiable from credible public reporting. The game appearing at the number one position on the Steam weekly sales charts will determine the winning outcome. The official Steam charts serve as the basis for determining the market’s resolution, ensuring a transparent and objective result. Traders should monitor these charts following the resolution date to confirm the final outcome of this market.
Several signals and events could significantly move this market before its resolution. Major game releases, especially from popular franchises, are likely to influence trading activity. Unexpected discounts or promotions on Steam can also shift player preferences and impact sales figures. Positive or negative reviews from prominent gaming critics and streamers can generate considerable buzz and affect purchasing decisions. Furthermore, any news regarding delays or updates to anticipated titles could also cause fluctuations in the market, as traders adjust their expectations based on the latest information.
