TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 31, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks which video game achieves the highest sales rank on Steam during a specific week in 2026. Participants can speculate on whether a particular title will lead in revenue generation during that period, reflecting consumer trends and gaming popularity.
The event determines the weekly top-selling game on Steam for the period August 25 to September 1, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific video game, and the market resolves to 'Yes' if that game occupies the #1 position on Steam's Weekly Top Sellers - Top 100 products by revenue list for the specified week. The resolution is based solely on Steam's publicly available sales data for that timeframe. Kalshi emphasizes that it holds no official ties with Steam, and all trademarks mentioned belong to their respective owners. Only the game ranked #1 triggers a 'Yes' outcome for its associated market; all other markets resolve to 'No' regardless of ranking position.
Compared to analyst forecasts, odds from this market often reflect real-time trader sentiment rather than published predictions. Analysts may highlight strong releases or seasonal trends, but the market price incorporates all available information, including early sales data and player buzz. When there’s a clear favorite, this market usually assigns a lower implied probability, while analysts might remain more cautious.
This market resolves around Sep 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner is determined by official Steam sales data for the specified week, and the market settles based on whether the listed game achieves the top position on the platform’s weekly rankings.
Key signals include early sales reports, media coverage of highly anticipated releases, platform-specific promotions, and player sentiment on forums or social media. Any surprise announcement about a game’s launch date or pricing could also shift this market. As the week progresses, real-time sales updates will most strongly influence price movements.