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405,232

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2,693

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StarCraft II: Rogue vs Gerald (BO3) - WardiTV Championship Group Stage 2 - Group B
polymarket

StarCraft II: Rogue vs Gerald (BO3) - WardiTV Championship Group Stage 2 - Group B

Volume:
$288

Match Winner

 - Polymarket

Match Winner - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 16, 2026

Closed: Jun 16, 2:40 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Match Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.9¢
N/A
$88
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
19¢
N/A
$59
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
19¢
N/A
$56
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map Handicap: Rogue (-1.5) vs Gerald (+1.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
19¢
N/A
$33
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Games

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$53
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 5

Description

This market refers to the StarCraft II match between Rogue and Gerald in the WardiTV Championship Group Stage 2 - Group B, initially scheduled for June 16 at 8:40AM ET. This market will resolve to "Rogue" if Rogue win the match against Gerald. This market will resolve to "Gerald" if Gerald win the match against Rogue. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://liquipedia.net/starcraft2/Main_Page. However, if https://liquipedia.net/starcraft2/Main_Page has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Polymarket

This market refers to the StarCraft II match between Rogue and Gerald in the WardiTV Championship Group Stage 2 - Group B, initially scheduled for June 16 at 8:40AM ET. This market will resolve to "Rogue" if Rogue win the match against Gerald. This market will resolve to "Gerald" if Gerald win the match against Rogue. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://liquipedia.net/starcraft2/Main_Page. However, if https://liquipedia.net/starcraft2/Main_Page has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard tracks real-time odds and trading activity for the Rogue vs Gerald best-of-three match within WardiTV Championship Group Stage 2 - Group B on Polymarket. It displays current implied probability for each outcome, historical price movements, and 24-hour trading volume in $278. Users can monitor how market sentiment shifts as match details emerge, player form updates, or tournament developments unfold. The dashboard provides a live snapshot of how prediction market participants are pricing this esports matchup relative to pre-event expectations.

Prediction market odds on Polymarket often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect decentralized trader sentiment rather than bookmaker risk management. Sportsbooks typically adjust odds to balance liability; prediction markets price based on collective belief. For this Rogue vs Gerald match, Polymarket odds may move faster or wider in response to roster news, recent tournament results, or head-to-head history. Comparing the two venues reveals whether mainstream betting consensus aligns with or diverges from decentralized market participants' views on the likely winner.

On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, the Rogue vs Gerald match is priced through outcome shares that reflect the probability traders assign to each player winning the best-of-three. Prices fluctuate based on order flow, with higher prices indicating stronger market conviction. Liquidity and trading volume influence how quickly prices respond to new information such as player statements, recent tournament performance, or map pool announcements. The current price on Polymarket represents the marginal trader's assessment of win likelihood at that moment.

The market resolves on Jun 16, 2026 following the completion of the Rogue vs Gerald best-of-three match in WardiTV Championship Group Stage 2 - Group B. Resolution is determined by the official match result as recorded by the tournament organizer and broadcast. The winner of the series—first player to win two maps—triggers the corresponding outcome. Markets remain open for trading until the match concludes and the official result is confirmed.

Key catalysts include recent tournament results and head-to-head records between Rogue and Gerald, map pool composition and player comfort on specific maps, roster or coaching changes affecting either player, public statements or interviews revealing confidence or concerns, and performance in earlier Group Stage 2 matches. Live match developments—such as early map wins, player aggression patterns, or unexpected strategies—will drive real-time price movement on Polymarket. Injury reports or last-minute technical issues could also shift market expectations before the match begins.