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StarCraft II: Arrogfire vs Lorimbo (BO3) - HomeStory Cup XXIX Group B
polymarket

Who will win Arrogfire vs Lorimbo?

Volume:
$1,032

O/U 2.5 Games

 - Polymarket

O/U 2.5 Games - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 3, 2026

Closed: Jul 3, 10:45 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Games

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
95.9¢
N/A
$283
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Winner

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$211
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Match Winner

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
48¢
N/A
$136
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map Handicap: Arrogfire (-1.5) vs Lorimbo (+1.5)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$243
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Winner

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$158
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 5

Description

This market refers to the StarCraft II match between Arrogfire and Lorimbo in the HomeStory Cup XXIX Group B, initially scheduled for July 3 at 4:45PM ET. This market will resolve to "Arrogfire" if Arrogfire win the match against Lorimbo. This market will resolve to "Lorimbo" if Lorimbo win the match against Arrogfire. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://liquipedia.net/starcraft2/Main_Page. However, if https://liquipedia.net/starcraft2/Main_Page has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Polymarket

This market refers to the StarCraft II match between Arrogfire and Lorimbo in the HomeStory Cup XXIX Group B, initially scheduled for July 3 at 4:45PM ET. This market will resolve to "Arrogfire" if Arrogfire win the match against Lorimbo. This market will resolve to "Lorimbo" if Lorimbo win the match against Arrogfire. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://liquipedia.net/starcraft2/Main_Page. However, if https://liquipedia.net/starcraft2/Main_Page has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the Arrogfire vs Lorimbo StarCraft II match displays real-time odds and historical price movements as traders buy and sell shares tied to the outcome. The interface shows the current probability implied by market prices, along with 24-hour trading activity. This market tracks a best-of-three series from HomeStory Cup XXIX Group B, allowing participants to monitor how sentiment shifts as new information emerges about player form, recent tournament results, or head-to-head records. The dashboard updates continuously, reflecting the collective assessment of all active traders on the platform.

Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they operate under different incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets rely on traders risking real capital to discover true probabilities. This market may show a different implied probability than what you'd find at a conventional esports sportsbook, reflecting the unique composition and risk appetite of Polymarket participants. Comparing the two can reveal arbitrage opportunities or signal where informed traders believe the consensus line is mispriced.

This market resolves around Jul 4, 2026, once the HomeStory Cup XXIX Group B match between these two players concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by which player wins the best-of-three series. Resolution occurs after the final game is played and confirmed through official tournament broadcasts or announcements. Traders should monitor the event schedule and any official updates from HomeStory Cup to anticipate the exact timing of resolution.

Several factors could shift odds before the match begins or unfolds. Recent tournament performances, head-to-head records, and player-specific meta knowledge can trigger repricing as new information surfaces. Roster changes, player statements, or injury announcements in the broader StarCraft II competitive scene may also influence trader sentiment. During the series itself, the outcome of individual games will drive sharp price movements, with the winner of Game 1 or Game 2 potentially signaling momentum. Monitor esports news outlets and official HomeStory Cup channels for developments that could reshape market expectations.