TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 19, 5:47 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the point differential in the second quarter of a college football game between Stanford and Duke. Each market corresponds to a specific margin of victory for either team within that quarter, allowing participants to bet on varying levels of dominance.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the second quarter of the Stanford vs Duke college football game scheduled for September 19, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the specified team wins the quarter by more than the stated point margin. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, the markets remain active and resolve according to the official result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. The markets cover a range of point differentials for both teams, from narrow victories (e.g., over 2.5 points) to larger margins (e.g., over 10.5 points), allowing for varied betting opportunities on the second-quarter performance of either team.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own information and beliefs. Often, you’ll find that prediction markets are more accurate than point spreads offered by sportsbooks, especially closer to the event. However, sportsbook odds are readily available for comparison and provide another perspective on the likely outcome of the game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the second quarter of the Stanford vs Duke game. The price of each contract reflects the market's probability assessment of that spread occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their bids and asks based on new information, leading to dynamic price discovery. The current price indicates what traders collectively believe is the most likely outcome, and the volume traded shows the level of conviction behind those beliefs.
This market resolves around Sep 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the actual second quarter spread of the Stanford vs Duke game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the governing body of college basketball, ensuring an objective and verifiable outcome. Traders who correctly predicted the spread will receive a payout based on the contract price at resolution, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Stanford or Duke teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in coaching strategies or unexpected lineup adjustments could also impact the perceived likelihood of different spreads. Furthermore, public sentiment and analysis from sports commentators can influence trading activity. Even late-breaking weather reports or news about team morale could contribute to shifts in the market price before Sep 19, 2026.