TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 19, 4:50 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks which team will lead after the first quarter of a college football game between Stanford and Duke. It focuses solely on the scoring dynamics during the initial 15 minutes of play, ignoring the final game result. The outcome depends purely on who holds the points advantage in that specific segment of the match.
The market resolves based on which team leads after the first quarter of the Stanford vs Duke college football game scheduled for September 19, 2026. If Duke scores more points than Stanford in the first quarter, that market resolves to Yes. If Stanford scores more points than Duke in the first quarter, its corresponding market resolves to Yes. If both teams score the same number of points in the first quarter, the tie market resolves to Yes. All markets remain active if the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time; if the game does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price. Only points scored during the first quarter count toward resolution.
Often, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those initially offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action, while this market’s prices are driven purely by individuals willing to buy or sell based on their own assessments. If a significant number of traders believe a team is more likely to win than sportsbooks suggest, the price for that outcome will rise. Discrepancies can emerge due to differing information, analytical approaches, or simply varying levels of confidence in a particular outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome – in this case, Stanford winning the first quarter or Duke winning the first quarter. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and place their bets, the prices adjust, providing a real-time assessment of the likelihood of each team prevailing in the opening quarter.
This market resolves around Sep 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The team leading at the end of the first quarter of the Stanford vs Duke game will be declared the winner for the purpose of this market. The official scorekeeping from the game will be used to determine the result. Traders holding contracts for the winning team will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for the losing team will not.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Stanford or Duke teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they are expected to impact the game's conditions, could also play a role. Furthermore, pre-game analysis from sports commentators and updated team statistics released closer to game time might shift traders’ perceptions and affect the prices. Public sentiment and betting trends observed elsewhere could also contribute to price fluctuations.