TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 19, 4:50 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of two college football teams in the first quarter of their game, focusing on the margin of victory for either side. It allows participants to speculate on how dominant one team might be over the other in the opening period of play.
The event evaluates whether Duke or Stanford wins the first quarter of their college football game by a specified point margin. Each market corresponds to a different point differential threshold, with outcomes resolving based on the official score at the end of the first quarter. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains active and resolves according to the actual result. Should the game fail to commence within this window, the market settles at a fair price, ensuring all possible scenarios are accounted for while maintaining fairness and transparency.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, which can sometimes differ from sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It’s common to see initial discrepancies, with prediction markets potentially incorporating information or perspectives not fully captured by traditional sportsbooks. Over time, these odds tend to converge as new information becomes available and more traders participate in this market.
This market resolves around Sep 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final first-quarter spread of the Stanford vs Duke game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the governing body of college basketball, ensuring an objective and transparent determination of the winning spread. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or fulfill their obligations based on the final outcome of the first quarter.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Stanford or Duke teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in coaching strategies or unexpected lineup adjustments could also shift the perceived probabilities. Even broader factors, such as weather conditions or public sentiment, could contribute to movement in this market. Monitoring these signals and events will be crucial for anyone looking to trade effectively in the Stanford vs Duke spread.