TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Stanford vs Duke: 1st Half Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Stanford vs Duke?

Volume:
$52,879

Duke wins 1H by over 6.5 points

 - Kalshi

Duke wins 1H by over 6.5 points - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 19, 2026

Closed: Sep 19, 5:40 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Duke wins 1H by over 6.5 points

View
100%
47%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$8,892
N/A
N/A
$6,342
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Duke wins 1H by over 4.5 points

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,037
N/A
N/A
$1,092
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Duke wins 1H by over 3.5 points

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,268
N/A
N/A
$1,246
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Duke wins 1H by over 2.5 points

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$855
N/A
N/A
$855
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Duke wins 1H by over 23.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$13,106
N/A
N/A
$13,106
Settled
No
kalshi

Stanford wins 1H by over 10.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9,521
N/A
N/A
$9,521
Settled
No
kalshi

Stanford wins 1H by over 13.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,800
N/A
N/A
$5,800
Settled
No
kalshi

Duke wins 1H by over 13.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,170
N/A
N/A
$1,462
Settled
No
kalshi

Duke wins 1H by over 9.5 points

0%
40%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,414
N/A
N/A
$1,087
Settled
No
kalshi

Duke wins 1H by over 7.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,389
N/A
N/A
$1,209
Settled
No
kalshi

Duke wins 1H by over 10.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,201
N/A
N/A
$642
Settled
No
kalshi

Stanford wins 1H by over 3.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$733
N/A
N/A
$690
Settled
No
kalshi

Stanford wins 1H by over 6.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$603
N/A
N/A
$603
Settled
No
kalshi

Duke wins 1H by over 14.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$478
N/A
N/A
$477
Settled
No
kalshi

Duke wins 1H by over 17.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$416
N/A
N/A
$416
Settled
No
kalshi

Duke wins 1H by over 20.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$367
N/A
N/A
$367
Settled
No
kalshi

Stanford wins 1H by over 4.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$353
N/A
N/A
$353
Settled
No
kalshi

Stanford wins 1H by over 7.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$338
N/A
N/A
$338
Settled
No
kalshi

Stanford wins 1H by over 9.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$330
N/A
N/A
$330
Settled
No
kalshi

Stanford wins 1H by over 2.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$304
N/A
N/A
$304
Settled
No
kalshi

Stanford wins 1H by over 14.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$303
N/A
N/A
$303
Settled
No
Total markets: 21

Description

This set of markets focuses on predicting the margin of victory for either Stanford or Duke during the first half of their upcoming college football game. Each market corresponds to a specific point differential threshold that must be exceeded by the winning team to settle the outcome.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the first half of the Stanford vs Duke college football game scheduled for September 19, 2026. For markets where Duke is the designated winner, resolution occurs if Duke's first-half point differential exceeds the specified threshold (e.g., more than 23.5 points). Conversely, markets designating Stanford as the winner resolve if Stanford's first-half point differential exceeds its respective threshold (e.g., more than 2.5 points). If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original scheduled start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the official first-half result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, meaning they are settled equitably rather than strictly on the stated outcomes. The markets are independent of any official NCAA affiliation, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Stanford vs Duke spread tracks the current price of contracts representing different point spreads for the first half of the game. You can view the historical price action, allowing you to see how expectations have shifted over time. The dashboard also displays the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $52,819, and the total overall volume traded in this market, which is $52,879. This provides a clear picture of market activity and investor sentiment regarding the first-half point differential.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk assessment, while this market aggregates the predictions of many individual traders. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously buying and selling contracts on Kalshi and at a sportsbook. However, it's important to remember that both represent probabilities of an outcome, and neither is guaranteed to be perfectly accurate.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the first half. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective belief about the probability of that spread occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price moves based on supply and demand; if more traders believe Stanford will cover a certain spread, they'll buy contracts representing that spread, driving up the price. Conversely, if they believe Duke will cover, they'll sell, lowering the price. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to reflect the most accurate prediction possible.

This market resolves around Sep 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official first-half spread of the Stanford vs Duke game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point difference after the first half will be compared to the various spread contracts offered on Kalshi to determine which contracts will pay out. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics as reported by a trusted sports data source, ensuring an objective and verifiable result for all participants in this market.

Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Stanford or Duke teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team performance leading up to the game, such as strong wins or unexpected losses, could also shift expectations. Even weather forecasts, particularly if they predict conditions that favor one team's playing style, might impact trading activity. Public sentiment and analysis from sports commentators could also contribute to price fluctuations in this market.