This event group covers a Ligue 1 soccer match between Stade Rennais FC 1901 and Paris Saint-Germain FC scheduled for February 13, 2026. Markets across Polymarket and Kalshi track three mutually exclusive outcomes: a draw, a Rennais win, or a PSG win, all resolved based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
All platforms apply identical resolution logic: match outcome determined after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with consistent handling of postponement (delay resolution) and cancellation (draw resolves Yes on Polymarket, win markets resolve No).
Primary resolution logic:
Ligue 1 official match records and statistics (https://www.ligue1.com/)
Core resolution logic:
Resolution is based on the official match result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only; extra time and penalties are excluded.
Three mutually exclusive outcomes are tracked: draw (Polymarket and Kalshi), Stade Rennais win (Polymarket and Kalshi), and Paris Saint-Germain win (Polymarket and Kalshi).
If the match is postponed, all markets remain open and resolution is delayed until the match is completed.
If the match is canceled entirely with no makeup game scheduled, Polymarket's draw market resolves to Yes and both win markets resolve to No; Kalshi's structure implies no simultaneous Yes resolutions across outcome markets.
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Match Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open until the match is completed on its rescheduled date. Resolution occurs after the rescheduled match concludes.
Match Cancellation (No Makeup): On Polymarket, the draw market resolves Yes and win markets resolve No. Kalshi does not explicitly state cancellation protocol but implies outcome markets resolve based on match completion; if no match occurs, no outcome can be confirmed.
Stoppage Time Inclusion: All platforms explicitly include stoppage time in the 90-minute resolution window. Goals scored during stoppage time count toward the final result.
Extra Time and Penalties Excluded: If the match reaches extra time or a penalty shootout (e.g., in a cup competition), only the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time is used for resolution. This market does not cover knockout-stage tiebreakers.
Timing:
Resolution occurs immediately after the match concludes on February 13, 2026, or on the rescheduled date if postponed. If canceled with no makeup game, resolution occurs on the originally scheduled date or shortly thereafter.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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