TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 11, 4:56 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks the likelihood of Olympique de Marseille scoring over 1.5 goals in the second half of their Ligue 1 match against Stade Rennais FC 1901. Currently, the consensus probability across Polymarket and Predict is 100.0%. Resolution will be based on official statistics from ligue1.com. Keep an eye on the match itself, as the outcome will be determined by the events occurring during the game on September 11, 2026, which marks the end of the betting period for these markets.
More markets for the Ligue 1 game, scheduled for September 11 at 2:45 PM ET.
More markets for the Ligue 1 game, scheduled for September 11 at 2:45 PM ET.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Predict for this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the differing incentives and information sources involved. Sportsbooks set odds to maximize profit, factoring in a margin for themselves, while prediction markets allow participants to directly express their beliefs, leading to a more accurate reflection of collective intelligence. This market’s odds represent the aggregated forecasts of informed traders, potentially revealing insights not fully captured by sportsbook models. The volume of $410,894 suggests a level of interest that can sometimes outperform traditional betting venues.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Predict may diverge due to variations in user base, trading activity, and the specific markets offered on each platform. Polymarket attracts a different demographic of traders than Predict, potentially leading to differing interpretations of the same information regarding the Stade Rennais vs. Marseille match. Furthermore, the liquidity and volume on each platform – currently $410,894 – can influence price discovery. These factors contribute to the observed discrepancies, offering opportunities for arbitrage and highlighting the diverse perspectives within the prediction market ecosystem.