This event group covers the professional Ligue 1 soccer match between Stade Rennais FC 1901 and FC Metz scheduled for March 22, 2026. Polymarket offers three binary markets (Draw, Rennais Win, Metz Win), while Kalshi offers a single market covering all three outcomes. All markets resolve based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Polymarket and Kalshi both resolve based on the official match outcome (win, loss, or draw) within 90 minutes plus stoppage time on March 22, 2026, using the same primary source (official Ligue 1 statistics) and identical scope.
Primary resolution logic:
Official Ligue 1 statistics as recognized by the governing body or event organizers; if unavailable within 2 hours post-match, credible reporting consensus may be used.
Core resolution logic:
Market resolves based on the match outcome after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time (no extra time or penalties).
Exactly one of three mutually exclusive outcomes will occur: Stade Rennais win, FC Metz win, or draw.
Polymarket's three binary markets (Rennais win, Metz win, draw) will each resolve YES or NO such that exactly one resolves YES.
Kalshi's three binary markets (Rennais win, Metz win, draw) will each resolve YES or NO such that exactly one resolves YES.
If the match is postponed, all markets remain open until the match is completed.
If the match is canceled with no make-up game, Polymarket's draw market resolves YES and win markets resolve NO; Kalshi's markets resolve based on the cancellation outcome (draw is the default for Polymarket, no-win for Kalshi win markets).
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Match Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets on both platforms remain open until the match is completed and a final result is determined.
Match Cancellation Without Makeup: If the match is canceled entirely with no make-up game, Polymarket resolves the draw market to YES and both win markets to NO. Kalshi's resolution follows the same logic: draw resolves YES, both win markets resolve NO.
Resolution Source Hierarchy: Primary source is official Ligue 1 statistics. If official statistics are not published within 2 hours after match conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting sources is used instead.
Timing:
Resolution occurs upon official publication of the final match result by Ligue 1 or event organizers, or within 2 hours post-match via credible reporting consensus if official statistics are delayed.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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