TOTAL VOLUME:
$53.9b
24H VOL:
$231,847,320
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,314,157,835
499,417
Markets across
14,310
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,754
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Stade Brestois 29 vs. Olympique de Marseille
Volume:
$548,625
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Ligue 1 football match between Stade Brestois 29 (home) and Olympique de Marseille scheduled for February 20, 2026. Markets span three binary outcomes (Brest win, Marseille win, draw) plus a both-teams-to-score market, all resolving on 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Cancellation handling differs between platforms. Polymarket resolves draw YES and wins NO on cancellation; Kalshi lacks explicit cancellation guidance, creating ambiguity in edge-case settlement.Hero Tip:
Traders should hedge across platforms if holding positions through match day. Confirm cancellation vs. postponement status with Ligue 1 official sources before the scheduled date. If cancellation occurs, expect Polymarket draw YES and win NO resolutions, but Kalshi BTTS may remain unresolved pending clarification.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets (Brest win, Marseille win, draw) all reference 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Cancellation logic splits: draw resolves YES if canceled with no make-up; win markets resolve NO if canceled with no make-up. Key Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to Yes' (draw) and 'this market will resolve No' (wins).
- Kalshi: Both-Teams-to-Score market (BTTS) resolves YES if both teams score within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation clause provided; standard practice suggests void or unresolved status, not a binary outcome. Key Quote: 'If Marseille and Stade Brest both score goals...after 90 minutes plus stoppage time...then the market resolves to Yes' (no cancellation guidance).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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