TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 5:05 PM EST
Kalshi
In the Ligue 1 clash between Stade Brest 29 and Paris Saint-Germain, the event assesses if both participants score at least one goal during the match's standard duration. The resolution depends exclusively on goals scored within the 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties.
If Stade Brest 29 and PSG both score a goal in the Stade Brest 29 vs PSG Ligue 1 match originally scheduled for Sep 13, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and incorporate a profit margin, while this market is driven by individuals trading on their own information and beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook has mispriced the probability of both teams scoring, the price on Kalshi will move accordingly. It’s common to see prediction markets converge toward more accurate probabilities as the event approaches, potentially offering value compared to traditional betting options.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing a 'yes' or 'no' outcome to the question of whether both teams will score. The price of these contracts reflects the market's collective belief about the probability of that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to find an equilibrium point where buyers and sellers are willing to transact. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust its assessment of the likelihood of both teams scoring in the match.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on whether both Stade Brest 29 and Paris Saint-Germain score at least one goal during regular play in the scheduled match. Any extra time or penalty shootouts will not be considered. The final result will be determined by official match data and verified against credible public sources, ensuring a transparent and accurate settlement of this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. News regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either team would likely have a significant impact. Tactical changes announced by either manager, particularly those affecting attacking formations, could also shift the market. Even weather conditions on match day could play a role, as they might influence the style of play and goal-scoring opportunities. Unexpected lineup announcements close to kickoff are another potential catalyst that could move this market on Kalshi.