TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Completed Match
- Polymarket
Completed Match - Polymarket
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
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Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 24, 2026
Closed: Sep 24, 9:12 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Matteo Martineau and Daniel Masur in the St. Tropez, originally scheduled for September 24, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matteo Martineau' if Matteo Martineau advances against Daniel Masur. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Masur' if Daniel Masur advances against Matteo Martineau. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Matteo Martineau and Daniel Masur in the St. Tropez, originally scheduled for September 24, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matteo Martineau' if Matteo Martineau advances against Daniel Masur. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Masur' if Daniel Masur advances against Matteo Martineau. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs. If a significant discrepancy exists between the implied probability on Polymarket and sportsbook lines, it may indicate that the market perceives information differently than bookmakers. It's important to remember that both represent probabilities, but are derived through different mechanisms.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Martineau vs Masur match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, ultimately reflecting the collective prediction of the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by new information, analysis, and shifts in sentiment regarding the players’ potential performance.
This market resolves around Oct 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the St. Tropez match between Matteo Martineau and Daniel Masur. The platform will verify the result against trusted sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official announcements for confirmation of the final result.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could shift the odds. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or venue could also have an impact. Furthermore, expert analysis, public opinion, and even significant bets placed on Polymarket can all contribute to price movements. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves leading up to Oct 1, 2026.