TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 22, 7:21 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Hugo Grenier and Thomas Faurel in the St. Tropez, originally scheduled for September 22, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Hugo Grenier' if Hugo Grenier advances against Thomas Faurel. This market will resolve to 'Thomas Faurel' if Thomas Faurel advances against Hugo Grenier. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Hugo Grenier and Thomas Faurel in the St. Tropez, originally scheduled for September 22, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Hugo Grenier' if Hugo Grenier advances against Thomas Faurel. This market will resolve to 'Thomas Faurel' if Thomas Faurel advances against Hugo Grenier. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on the collective predictions of traders. Often, prediction markets can provide a more accurate forecast, especially when a significant amount of volume is traded. However, sportsbook odds can be useful for identifying potential value discrepancies. It’s important to note that both represent probabilities, but are derived through different mechanisms and may be influenced by varying factors, such as public perception and expert analysis.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of each share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date collective intelligence of participants. The market’s price movements are driven by supply and demand, influenced by new information and changing opinions about the Grenier vs Faurel match.
This market resolves around Sep 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the St. Tropez match between Hugo Grenier and Thomas Faurel, as declared by the official tournament organizers. The market will determine which player ultimately won the match, based on the official score. Any disputes or challenges to the official result will be resolved using publicly available information and established tennis rules. Traders should monitor official sources for confirmation of the final result.
Several signals could influence trading activity in this market before resolution. News regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (weather, court surface), or updates on their recent performance could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players might also impact confidence levels. Furthermore, any public statements from tennis analysts or experts offering predictions could sway the market. A significant increase in trading volume itself can also be a signal, indicating new information or a change in market perception regarding the Grenier vs Faurel match.