TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 7:18 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the doubles tennis match between Kouzmine/Masur and Paul/Vocel in the St. Tropez, originally scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kouzmine/Masur' if the team of Kouzmine/Masur advances against Paul/Vocel. This market will resolve to 'Paul/Vocel' if the team of Paul/Vocel advances against Kouzmine/Masur. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the team who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (a team withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the doubles tennis match between Kouzmine/Masur and Paul/Vocel in the St. Tropez, originally scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kouzmine/Masur' if the team of Kouzmine/Masur advances against Paul/Vocel. This market will resolve to 'Paul/Vocel' if the team of Paul/Vocel advances against Kouzmine/Masur. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the team who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (a team withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds due to varying information sources and incentives. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own analysis. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Comparing the two can offer a broader perspective on the perceived probabilities of different outcomes in the St. Tropez doubles match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market remains responsive to changing conditions and provides a real-time estimate of the likelihood of each team winning the St. Tropez doubles match.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the St. Tropez doubles match between Kouzmine/Masur and Paul/Vocel. The platform will verify the result against established sports data sources to determine the winning team and settle the market accordingly. Traders should ensure they understand the resolution timeline and the source of truth used for verification to manage their positions effectively.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team strategy, or weather conditions impacting play could all be significant catalysts. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or even general shifts in public sentiment, could also move the market. Furthermore, large trades by influential participants on Polymarket could create short-term price fluctuations, and any updates regarding the match schedule or location might also affect trading volume and probabilities.