TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 22, 8:14 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Daniil Glinka and Daniel Jade in the St. Tropez, originally scheduled for September 22, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daniil Glinka' if Daniil Glinka advances against Daniel Jade. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Jade' if Daniel Jade advances against Daniil Glinka. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Daniil Glinka and Daniel Jade in the St. Tropez, originally scheduled for September 22, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daniil Glinka' if Daniil Glinka advances against Daniel Jade. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Jade' if Daniel Jade advances against Daniil Glinka. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different kind of wisdom than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the aggregated beliefs of informed traders. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially when a significant amount of information isn’t widely available or when there’s strong sentiment driving trading activity. These differences can present opportunities for arbitrage or simply indicate varying perspectives on the likely result of the Glinka vs Jade match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Glinka vs Jade match. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price fluctuates, reflecting the evolving consensus. The current price indicates the collective expectation for the match’s result.
This market resolves around Sep 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Glinka vs Jade match as reported by the governing sports authority. The platform will verify the result against established sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions based on the final outcome of this sporting contest.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or strategic announcements from either Daniil Glinka or Daniel Jade could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected results in related matches or shifts in public sentiment could also drive trading volume and price movements. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to capitalize on potential opportunities before this market resolves around Sep 29, 2026.