This event group covers the Scottish Premiership match between St Mirren FC and Rangers FC scheduled for March 15, 2026. Markets are offered on three mutually exclusive outcomes: St Mirren win, Rangers win, or a draw. Resolution is based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both platforms resolve on the same match outcome (St Mirren win, Rangers win, or draw) after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with consistent handling of postponements and cancellations.
Primary resolution logic:
Official Scottish Premier League (SPFL) statistics at spfl.co.uk; if unavailable within 2 hours of match conclusion, consensus of credible reporting sources.
Core resolution logic:
Match outcome determined after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only; extra time and penalties are excluded
Three mutually exclusive outcomes: St Mirren FC win, Rangers FC win, or draw
If match is postponed, all markets remain open until the match is completed
If match is canceled entirely with no makeup game scheduled, Polymarket resolves St Mirren and Rangers win markets to No and draw market to Yes; Kalshi's outcome market resolves Yes
Resolution uses official SPFL statistics as primary source; credible reporting consensus used if official statistics unavailable within 2 hours of match conclusion
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Match Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open and unresolved until the match is actually played and completed.
Match Cancellation with No Makeup: If the match is canceled entirely with no makeup game, Polymarket resolves St Mirren win and Rangers win markets to No and the draw market to Yes. Kalshi resolves its outcome market to Yes.
Extra Time or Penalties: Resolution is based only on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shootouts are explicitly excluded from consideration.
Official Statistics Delay: If SPFL does not publish official match statistics within 2 hours of match conclusion, resolution may use consensus of credible reporting sources instead.
Timing:
Resolution occurs after the match concludes (90 minutes plus stoppage time) on March 15, 2026, with official SPFL statistics expected within 2 hours of match end.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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