This event group covers the Scottish Premiership match between St Mirren FC and Motherwell FC scheduled for February 21, 2026. Three separate prediction markets track the outcome: St Mirren win, draw, and Motherwell win, each resolving based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
Polymarket explicitly resolves the draw market to Yes upon cancellation, while Kalshi's three mutually-exclusive outcome markets lack a cancellation clause, creating potential ambiguity in edge-case settlement.
Hero Tip:
Verify game completion status with SPFL before settlement. If canceled, Polymarket draw resolves Yes; Kalshi requires platform discretion. For normal completion, all platforms align on 90-minute plus stoppage time outcome.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket: Three separate binary markets: St Mirren win (Yes/No), Draw (Yes/No), Motherwell win (Yes/No). Draw market explicitly states: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve Yes.' Win markets resolve No on cancellation.
Kalshi: Three mutually-exclusive outcome markets: St. Mirren wins, Tie wins, Motherwell wins. Each resolves Yes if that outcome occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation clause provided; structure assumes game completion.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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