TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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St. Louis vs San Francisco
kalshi

Who will win St. Louis vs San Francisco?

Volume:
$4,093,572

San Francisco

 - Kalshi

San Francisco - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 10, 2026

Closed: Sep 9, 6:32 PM EST

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Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

San Francisco

View
100%
49%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,689,337
N/A
N/A
$571,691
Settled
Yes
kalshi

St. Louis

0%
53%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,404,235
N/A
N/A
$1,293,581
Settled
No
Total markets: 2

Intro

This market tracks whether St. Louis will win its professional baseball game against San Francisco. Currently, the probability of St. Louis winning on Kalshi is 96.0%, while San Francisco winning is at 4.0%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the game as determined by the official result, with resolution source details available in the resolution rules. Keep an eye on the game itself, scheduled for September 9, 2026 at 3:45 PM EDT, as the final score at that time will determine the market’s outcome.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the winner of the professional baseball game between St. Louis and San Francisco originally scheduled for September 9, 2026, at 3:45 PM EDT. If the game is postponed or delayed but played within two days of the original schedule, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game concludes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two days after the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price. The markets for each team separately determine resolution: if the specified team wins, its respective market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Kalshi clarifies that it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the St. Louis vs San Francisco game tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You can see how the implied probability of each outcome changes over time, and monitor the total volume traded in this market, which is currently $4,093,572. The 24-hour volume is $3,929,466, indicating recent trading activity. This provides a real-time view of where traders are placing their bets and how sentiment is shifting leading up to the event.

Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin, while this market is driven purely by individuals predicting the outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Analyzing these differences can reveal insights into what factors are influencing each type of oddsmaker and how they weigh various inputs when forecasting the result of the St. Louis vs San Francisco game.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's current probability assessment of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more a particular outcome is bought, the higher its price rises, and vice-versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations as the event approaches.

This market resolves around Sep 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the St. Louis vs San Francisco game, as reported by a trusted source. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the final market prices at resolution. It’s important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches to understand how the final result will be determined and reported.

Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the St. Louis or San Francisco team would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they are expected to impact playing conditions, could also move the market. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or coaching decisions might also influence trader sentiment. Finally, public opinion shifts, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, could contribute to changes in the probabilities reflected in this market.