TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 4, 9:34 PM EST
Kalshi
The event will occur if the baseball game between St. Louis and New York Y on August 4, 2026, cannot be decided within the regulation nine innings. If scores remain level after those innings, the game proceeds to extra frames to determine a victor. This scenario underscores the possibility of a closely contested match needing extra effort to resolve.
If St. Louis and New York Y go to extra innings in the St. Louis vs New York Y professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 4, 2026 at 7:05 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Compared to traditional sportsbook lines, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a more nuanced outlook, incorporating real-time trader sentiment and in-game developments. While sportsbooks may set a static line early, the prediction market adjusts dynamically throughout the game, potentially offering sharper insights into the likelihood of extra innings.
This market resolves around Aug 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by whether the game goes beyond the standard nine-inning regulation time, as officially recorded by the league.
Key moments such as pitcher changes, injuries, weather delays, or a team mounting a late comeback could shift expectations and move this market. As the game progresses into the later innings with scores tied or close, trader sentiment may swing dramatically, impacting the odds on Kalshi right up until the final out.