TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 11, 3:55 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether St. Louis and New York M will combine for more than 3.5 runs in their scheduled matchup. On Kalshi, the leading outcome currently stands at 99.0%. Resolution will be determined by the official combined run total from the full game as recorded by MLB. Watch for the game's completion on June 11, 2026 at 1:10 PM EDT, when the final combined run total will be confirmed for settlement.
The market tracks the combined run total scored by St. Louis and New York Mets in their professional baseball game scheduled for June 11, 2026 at 1:10 PM EDT. Each outcome corresponds to a specific run threshold, with resolution to Yes if the combined total exceeds that threshold. Thresholds range from 3.5 runs to 13.5 runs in half-run increments.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect real-money trader conviction rather than bookmaker risk management. Sportsbooks adjust lines to balance action and lock in margins; prediction markets move purely on supply and demand from participants betting their own capital. For the St. Louis vs New York M total runs, comparing Kalshi odds to major sportsbooks reveals whether traders see edge versus public perception. Prediction markets typically show sharper pricing on niche outcomes and less predictable events where sportsbooks maintain wider margins.
On Kalshi, the St. Louis vs New York M: Total Runs contract is priced between 0 and 100 cents, where each cent represents a 1% implied probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy or sell shares based on their belief about whether the combined runs will exceed or fall short of the threshold. The price discovery happens continuously as new orders flow in, with the last-traded price reflecting the most recent market consensus. Kalshi's order book shows all pending bids and asks, allowing traders to execute at their preferred price or set limit orders ahead of the game.
The St. Louis vs New York M: Total Runs market resolves on Jun 11, 2026, after the game concludes. Resolution is determined by the official final run total recorded by Major League Baseball for the matchup. Once the game ends and the final score is confirmed, the market settles based on whether combined runs met or exceeded the specified threshold. Early resolution may occur if the game is called or postponed under league rules. Traders should monitor official MLB sources and the platform's resolution announcement for confirmation of the final outcome.
Key catalysts for the St. Louis vs New York M: Total Runs market include starting pitcher announcements, recent offensive form and injury updates for both teams, weather conditions at game time, and bullpen availability. Lineup changes or trades announced before the game can shift run-scoring expectations significantly. Historical head-to-head matchups and recent scoring trends in both offenses also influence trader positioning. Breaking news about player injuries, roster moves, or weather forecasts often trigger sharp price moves as new information reaches the market. Real-time updates during pre-game coverage typically drive final adjustments before first pitch.