TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 11, 3:55 PM EST
Kalshi
Two professional baseball teams compete in a game scheduled for June 11, 2026, with outcomes based on the margin of victory for either team.
This event measures the final run differential between St. Louis and New York M in their June 11, 2026 matchup. New York M's victory margins are evaluated at thresholds of 3.5, 2.5, and 1.5 runs, with each market resolving to Yes if New York M wins by more than the specified margin. Similarly, St. Louis's victory margins are evaluated at thresholds of 1.5, 2.5, and 3.5 runs, with each market resolving to Yes if St. Louis wins by more than the specified margin. The outcome is determined by the final score differential at the end of the complete game.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi often differ from traditional sportsbook spreads because they reflect real-time crowd sentiment rather than bookmaker models. Sportsbooks adjust lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets like Kalshi aggregate trader beliefs directly. For the St. Louis vs New York M: Spread, comparing Kalshi pricing to major sportsbook lines can reveal where professional and retail traders diverge. These differences can signal value opportunities or highlight consensus breakdowns between venues.
On Kalshi, the St. Louis vs New York M: Spread is priced as a binary contract reflecting whether the spread outcome occurs. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy or sell shares at prices between 0 and 100 cents, with the implied probability derived from the current market price. Kalshi's order book aggregates buy and sell interest, and the mid-price reflects the consensus forecast. As new information emerges or trading volume shifts, the price adjusts to equilibrate supply and demand for this specific spread outcome.
The St. Louis vs New York M: Spread market on Kalshi resolves on Jun 11, 2026. Resolution is determined by the final official spread result of the game between St. Louis and New York. The outcome will be settled based on the actual point differential and any applicable rules governing spread resolution on Kalshi. Traders should monitor official league announcements and game results as the event date approaches to understand how the final spread will be calculated and confirmed.
Key catalysts for the St. Louis vs New York M: Spread include team roster changes, injury announcements, recent performance trends, and head-to-head matchup history. Coaching decisions, weather conditions on game day, and betting line movements from sportsbooks can also shift market pricing. Breaking news about player availability, trades, or team form will likely trigger repricing on Kalshi. Additionally, public sentiment shifts and large trades by informed participants can move the implied probability as the game date approaches.