TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 10, 10:00 PM EST
Kalshi
Two professional baseball teams play a baseball game scheduled for June 10, 2026 in the evening. The event is determined by whether the game extends beyond the standard nine innings.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi often differ from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect real-time trader sentiment rather than bookmaker pricing models. Sportsbooks adjust odds to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate beliefs from many participants with financial stakes. For the St. Louis vs New York M: Extra Innings extra-innings outcome, comparing Kalshi implied probabilities to major sportsbook offerings can reveal whether the market views the event as more or less likely than conventional oddsmakers. These differences can highlight unique trading opportunities or consensus shifts.
On Kalshi, the St. Louis vs New York M: Extra Innings market is priced as a binary contract reflecting the probability that the game extends beyond nine innings. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy or sell shares at prices between 0 and 100 cents, with each cent representing a 1% implied probability. As new information emerges—such as pitcher fatigue, bullpen depth, or in-game momentum—the price adjusts to reflect the collective forecast of active traders. Kalshi's order book displays both bid and ask prices, allowing participants to enter positions at their preferred levels.
The St. Louis vs New York M: Extra Innings market resolves on Jun 11, 2026, after the game concludes. Resolution is determined by whether the contest proceeds beyond the standard nine innings. The outcome is verified against official Major League Baseball records and box scores. Once the final result is confirmed, the market settles and traders receive payouts based on their positions. Early resolution may occur if the game is postponed or cancelled under specific conditions outlined in the market terms.
Several factors could shift the St. Louis vs New York M: Extra Innings odds before the game begins and during play. Pre-game catalysts include official lineup announcements, last-minute injuries to key players, bullpen availability reports, and weather forecasts affecting playing conditions. During the game, the score differential, pitcher performance, and number of runs scored will influence trader expectations. Momentum swings, unexpected offensive explosions, or dominant pitching performances can rapidly alter the probability of extra innings. Late-inning developments and strategic decisions by managers will be closely watched by market participants.