TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 12, 11:39 PM EST
Kalshi
This event allows bettors to wager on individual team run production in the June 12, 2026 St. Louis vs Minnesota game. Separate outcomes track whether each team will exceed various run-scoring thresholds.
The St. Louis vs Minnesota game scheduled for June 12, 2026 at 8:10 PM EDT will be evaluated for individual team run production across multiple thresholds. Minnesota outcomes resolve to Yes if that team scores at or above specified run totals ranging from 2 runs through 8 runs. St. Louis outcomes similarly resolve to Yes if that team scores at or above specified run totals ranging from 2 runs through 8 runs. Each team's performance is evaluated independently, and the final official score at the end of nine innings determines all resolutions.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate the collective beliefs of traders who profit or lose based on accuracy. This market may show higher or lower implied probabilities than traditional sportsbooks, depending on whether traders believe the consensus line undervalues or overvalues the team total. Comparing the two can reveal where smart money sees opportunity.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders submit bids and asks for shares corresponding to each team total outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome reflects the latest matched trade, and the gap between bid and ask spreads represents the current liquidity and consensus around that result. As game time approaches and new information surfaces, traders adjust their positions, causing prices to shift in real time and the implied probabilities to update accordingly.
This market resolves around Jun 13, 2026, once the St. Louis versus Minnesota game concludes and the final combined team scoring is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the actual total points scored by both teams during regulation play. Resolution occurs after official box scores are confirmed and any scoring corrections are finalized, ensuring accuracy before payouts are distributed to winning traders.
Key catalysts include injury reports affecting offensive or defensive playmakers, weather forecasts that influence passing and kicking accuracy, recent offensive and defensive trends for both squads, and any late-breaking roster changes. Betting line movement at major sportsbooks can also signal sharp money positioning. As game time nears, final injury confirmations and team announcements about starting lineups typically trigger sharp repricing. Live updates during the game itself will drive the most dramatic shifts in this market's odds.