TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 25, 10:36 PM EST
Kalshi
The St. Louis and Milwaukee baseball teams will compete in a match scheduled for September 25, 2026. If the game remains tied after the nine regulation innings, it will proceed to extra innings, extending play until a winner is determined. This determination affects outcomes tied to game length and competitive balance.
If at least 1 extra inning is played in the St. Louis vs Milwaukee professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 25, 2026 at 7:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for profit margins, while this market is driven purely by traders expressing their beliefs about the event's outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists, opportunities for arbitrage may arise, as traders could potentially profit by simultaneously betting on both platforms. However, it’s important to note that market participants may have different information or interpretations than those informing sportsbook lines.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's current expectation of that outcome's probability. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective intelligence of the group. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movement is influenced by factors like news, injuries, and overall market sentiment, creating a dynamic and responsive pricing mechanism for this MLB extra innings event.
This market resolves around Sep 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether the St. Louis versus Milwaukee baseball game goes into extra innings. Official game results from sources like MLB.com will be used to determine the final outcome. Traders who correctly predicted whether extra innings will occur will receive a payout based on the final market prices at resolution.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding potential starting pitchers, key player injuries, or changes in weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected lineup announcements or reports about team strategies could also influence the odds. Furthermore, overall betting patterns and large volume trades on Kalshi can create momentum and drive price fluctuations. Monitoring these factors closely will be crucial for understanding potential movements in the MLB extra innings market before it resolves.