TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 18, 10:54 PM EST
Kalshi
This event examines individual team scoring performance in the same St. Louis vs Kansas City game on June 18, 2026. Separate markets track whether each team will exceed various run thresholds, allowing bettors to predict offensive performance by either the visiting or home team independently.
Resolution is based on the individual run totals scored by Kansas City and St. Louis in the professional baseball game scheduled for June 18, 2026 at 7:40 PM EDT. Kansas City outcomes resolve Yes if the team scores at or above the specified threshold (2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, or 8 runs corresponding to over 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, 5.5, 6.5, or 7.5 run lines). St. Louis outcomes similarly resolve Yes if the team scores at or above the specified threshold (2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, or 8 runs corresponding to over 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, 5.5, 6.5, or 7.5 run lines). The final official score at the end of regulation play determines each team's run total.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they serve different purposes and audiences. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets reflect pure trader conviction—there is no house edge. This market aggregates the views of many independent forecasters rather than a single oddsmaker, which can lead to sharper or more volatile pricing. Comparing the two can reveal where public opinion on the team total differs from professional sportsbook positioning.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders directly set bid and ask prices for shares tied to the team total outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the collective probability assigned by active traders; as new bets flow in, the market adjusts in real time. You can place limit or market orders to enter or exit your position, and the spread between buy and sell prices narrows or widens based on liquidity and conviction.
This market resolves around Jun 19, 2026, once the St. Louis vs Kansas City game concludes and the final combined team total is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the official final score reported by the league and confirmed through standard sports data providers. Until that point, traders can continue to buy and sell shares as new information—injury reports, weather, line movement—influences expectations for the scoring total.
Key injury announcements, lineup changes, or roster updates for either team can shift expectations around offensive and defensive output. Weather conditions on game day—wind, temperature, precipitation—often influence scoring totals significantly. Line movement at major sportsbooks, sharp money flow, and public betting patterns may also signal where informed traders see value. Breaking news about player health, coaching decisions, or team strategy in the days leading up to kickoff can trigger sharp repricing as the market incorporates new information.