TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 17, 9:39 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks who will win the second game in a doubleheader between St. Louis and Cincinnati, scheduled for August 17, 2026. On Kalshi, the current probability of Cincinnati winning is 86.0%, with St. Louis at 14.0%. The result will be resolved based on the game's official outcome. Watch for the game on August 17, 2026, which will determine the market's settlement.
The market resolves based on the winner of the St. Louis vs Cincinnati professional baseball game 2 of the doubleheader originally scheduled for August 17, 2026, at 6:40 PM EDT. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled game finishes, provided it occurs within two days of the original date. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two days away from the original date, the market resolves to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the Governing League, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
On Kalshi, the current implied probability shows strong confidence in one team, differing from typical sportsbook spreads. While sportsbooks balance risk and set lines to invite equal action on both sides, prediction markets reflect aggregated trader sentiment. This can lead to notable gaps between the two, especially when market participants have access to detailed analysis or non-public information. The difference highlights how trader behavior and risk tolerance shape odds differently than traditional sports betting models.
This market resolves around Aug 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official game outcome as reported by authoritative sports governing bodies and widely recognized news outlets. No internal platform mechanisms or special rules apply—resolution follows standard event verification processes, ensuring transparency and alignment with real-world results.