TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 20, 3:49 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks which team will win the professional baseball game between St. Louis and Cincinnati. On Kalshi, the current probability for Cincinnati to win stands at 85.0%, with St. Louis at 14.0%. The resolution source is the game result on August 20, 2026. Watch for any scheduling changes or updates leading up to the August 20, 2026 game date, as these could affect the market outcome.
The market resolves based on the result of the professional baseball game between St. Louis and Cincinnati originally scheduled for August 20, 2026, at 12:40 PM EDT. If St. Louis wins, its corresponding market resolves to Yes, and Cincinnati's resolves to No. Conversely, if Cincinnati wins, its market resolves to Yes, and St. Louis's market resolves to No. Should the game be postponed or delayed but played within two days of the original date, the market remains open until the game concludes. If the game is canceled or rescheduled to more than two days after the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price, reflecting the likelihood of each team winning under the new circumstances. Kalshi clarifies that it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
On Kalshi, this market reflects trader sentiment rather than traditional sportsbook lines. Prediction market odds often diverge from sportsbook odds due to different participant motivations and information sources. Traders may price in factors beyond simple win probabilities, such as market sentiment or recent performance trends. This can lead to variations in implied probabilities compared to standard sportsbook lines, offering a unique perspective on the St. Louis vs Cincinnati matchup. The differences highlight how diverse forecasting communities interpret the same event.
This market resolves around Aug 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result aligns with the official game outcome, and traders can expect a swift resolution once the contest concludes and results are widely reported. Timing depends on when definitive, public confirmation becomes available, typically shortly after the game ends.
In the run-up to Aug 20, 2026, several key factors could shift this market. Performance metrics such as recent games, player injuries, and coaching strategies will heavily influence trader sentiment. Media coverage and expert analyses may also sway perceptions, especially after notable plays or controversies. As the event approaches, updated polling data and betting trends from traditional sportsbooks might further adjust odds on Kalshi, reflecting evolving expectations about the final outcome.