TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 14, 4:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether St. Louis will win the professional baseball game against Chicago C. On Kalshi, the current probability for St. Louis to win stands at 93.0%, with Chicago C at 6.0%. The resolution source is the game's result as played. Watch for the game scheduled for August 14, 2026, as this is the date that will determine the market outcome.
The market resolves based on which team wins the professional baseball game originally scheduled for August 14, 2026, at 2:20 PM EDT. If the game is postponed or delayed but played within two days of the original date, the market remains open until the game concludes. If the game is canceled or rescheduled to more than two days after the original date, the market resolves to a fair price. The market is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
On Kalshi, this market reflects trader sentiment through dynamic pricing, often showing tighter spreads than traditional sportsbook odds. While sportsbooks may incorporate additional factors like juice or house edges, prediction markets let participants bet directly on perceived probabilities. The resulting odds can diverge significantly, especially in contests as closely matched as the St. Louis vs Chicago C championship race. Traders might see different implied chances compared to sportsbook lines, influenced purely by crowd wisdom without institutional adjustments.
This market resolves around Aug 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will reflect the official championship standings as recognized by authoritative sports governing bodies and major news outlets, ensuring transparency and reliability for all participants.
Key performances, injuries, and playoff positioning can all shift this market before Aug 14, 2026. Traders will watch regular-season results, especially head-to-head matchups, along with any major roster changes or coaching decisions. Momentum swings and media narratives often drive short-term volatility, while longer-term betting patterns reflect broader expectations about playoff readiness. Any unexpected developments — from player health updates to strategic realignments — may cause rapid adjustments in pricing as the championship race evolves.