TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 1, 8:34 PM EST
Kalshi
This event predicts the winner of the first five innings of the St. Louis vs Atlanta game on July 1, 2026, including the possibility of a tie. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled game finishes within two days.
Resolution is determined by which team leads at the end of the first five innings of the St. Louis vs Atlanta professional baseball game originally scheduled for July 1, 2026 at 7:15 PM EDT. If St. Louis has more runs at the end of the fifth inning, the St. Louis outcome resolves to Yes and all other outcomes resolve to No. If Atlanta has more runs, the Atlanta outcome resolves to Yes and all other outcomes resolve to No. If the score is tied at the end of the fifth inning, the Tie outcome resolves to Yes and both team outcomes resolve to No. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled game has finished within two days.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and protect their margins, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of traders risking real money on outcomes. This market may price outcomes differently than major sportsbooks, sometimes offering sharper or contrarian valuations. Comparing the two can reveal where informed traders see value relative to conventional betting lines.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome reflects the last executed trade, and you can place limit or market orders to enter or exit positions. As more traders participate, prices adjust to reflect new information and shifting expectations about the first five innings. Liquidity and spreads depend on overall trading volume and the number of active participants.
This market resolves around Jul 2, 2026, once the first five innings of the St. Louis versus Atlanta game are complete and the result is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome will reflect the final score or winner determined by official game records. Until that time, prices will fluctuate based on pre-game analysis, team news, and trader sentiment. Resolution is automatic once the event concludes and data is confirmed.
Key catalysts include lineup announcements, starting pitcher confirmation, and any last-minute roster changes or injuries affecting either team. Weather conditions and ballpark factors can also influence early-inning scoring expectations. Breaking news about player availability, recent team form, or head-to-head trends may prompt traders to adjust positions. As game time nears, market depth typically increases, and final positioning by sharp traders often signals conviction about the likely outcome.