TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 16, 8:30 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming MLS game between St. Louis City SC and Sporting Kansas City, scheduled for July 16, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "St. Louis City SC" if St. Louis City SC score more goals than Sporting Kansas City in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if St. Louis City SC and Sporting Kansas City score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Sporting Kansas City" if Sporting Kansas City score more goals than St. Louis City SC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming MLS game between St. Louis City SC and Sporting Kansas City, scheduled for July 16, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "St. Louis City SC" if St. Louis City SC score more goals than Sporting Kansas City in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if St. Louis City SC and Sporting Kansas City score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Sporting Kansas City" if Sporting Kansas City score more goals than St. Louis City SC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance liability and extract a margin, while prediction markets like this one are driven purely by trader supply and demand. This market's odds may lead or lag sportsbook lines depending on which venue attracts sharper action first. Comparing the two can reveal where informed traders see value, though sportsbook odds typically incorporate professional sports analytics and live injury updates more quickly.
On Polymarket, traders set prices by buying and selling outcome shares in an automated market maker (AMM) system. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each outcome—such as St. Louis City SC second-half win, draw, or Sporting Kansas City second-half win—has its own share price, and the sum of all outcome prices equals one dollar. As traders place orders, prices adjust dynamically to reflect changing conviction about the match result. Higher prices indicate stronger trader belief in that outcome's likelihood.
This market resolves around Jul 17, 2026, once the second half of the St. Louis City SC versus Sporting Kansas City match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by which team leads on the scoreboard when the final whistle sounds, or whether the teams are tied. Resolution occurs shortly after the match ends, allowing traders to settle their positions based on the confirmed final score.
Team news—injuries, suspensions, or lineup changes announced before kickoff—can shift odds significantly. Early first-half momentum and goals will influence second-half expectations, as traders reassess whether either side is likely to push harder or defend more conservatively. Weather conditions, referee assignments, and historical head-to-head patterns may also sway pricing. Real-time match events, such as red cards or tactical substitutions, typically trigger the largest price swings as traders update their forecasts for the final half-hour.