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St. Louis City SC vs. Sporting Kansas City
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of St. Louis City SC vs. Sporting Kansas City?

Volume:
$1,710,053

Over 4.5 goals scored

 - Kalshi

Over 4.5 goals scored - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 17, 2026

Closed: Jul 16, 10:46 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Over 4.5 goals scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$609,568
N/A
N/A
$289,843
Settled
Yes
polymarket

St. Louis City SC

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$465,545
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 3.5 goals scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$323,958
N/A
N/A
$123,281
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 2.5 goals scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$84,895
N/A
N/A
$49,413
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 1.5 goals scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$17,334
N/A
N/A
$14,630
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Sporting Kansas City

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$107,057
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (St. Louis City SC vs. Sporting Kansas City)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$101,696
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 7

Intro

This market tracks whether more than 2.5 goals will be scored in the MLS match between St. Louis City SC and Sporting Kansas City. Across Kalshi and Polymarket, the aggregated consensus probability for over 2.5 goals stands at 99.0%. Resolution will be determined by official MLS records via mlssoccer.com/schedule/scores. Watch for the final whistle on July 16, 2026, when the actual goal total will be recorded and markets will settle.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket's cancellation logic is internally inconsistent (win markets resolve No, draw market resolves Yes), and Kalshi total goals markets omit cancellation guidance entirely. This creates settlement ambiguity for edge cases.Hero tip: Monitor official MLS communications for any postponement or cancellation notices. If the game is canceled with no make-up, expect Polymarket draw YES and win markets NO to settle. For Kalshi, contact support before settlement if cancellation occurs, as the resolution path is undefined.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three binary outcome markets (St. Louis City SC win, draw, Sporting Kansas City win) all reference 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Win markets resolve No on cancellation; draw market resolves Yes on cancellation. Primary source is official MLS statistics within 2 hours, fallback to credible reporting consensus. Key Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No"' (wins) vs 'this market will resolve "Yes"' (draw).
  • Kalshi: Four total goals markets (Over 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5) resolve Yes if threshold is exceeded in 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation, postponement, or source guidance provided. Resolution depends entirely on goal count metric.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming MLS game, scheduled for Thursday, July 16, 2026 between St. Louis City SC and Sporting Kansas City.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on the total goals scored by both teams combined in the Saint Louis vs Kansas City MLS match scheduled for July 16, 2026, measured through the conclusion of 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time added by the referee. Extra time and penalty shootouts are excluded from the goal count. Each market outcome corresponds to a specific goal threshold: outcomes resolve Yes if the final combined goal total exceeds their respective thresholds (1.5, 2.5, 3.5, or 4.5 goals).

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard aggregates prediction market data across Polymarket and Kalshi for the St. Louis City vs. Sporting Kansas City match. Traders on both venues are pricing outcomes related to match performance, including whether St. Louis City SC will secure victory and whether the total goal count will exceed key thresholds. The cross-platform view lets you compare how each community is valuing the same event, revealing consensus expectations and identifying where sentiment diverges. Real-time volume and odds updates help you spot shifting trader conviction as the event approaches.

Prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks price outcomes using different mechanisms. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and manage risk, often incorporating a margin. Prediction markets, by contrast, reflect live trader consensus—prices move continuously as new information arrives and participants adjust their positions. This market-driven pricing can sometimes diverge from sportsbook lines, especially when one venue attracts sharper or more specialized traders. Comparing both sources helps you identify value and understand whether the crowd's view on this matchup aligns with professional oddsmakers.

Key catalysts include team news such as injuries to star players, lineup changes, or managerial decisions that affect competitive balance. Recent form, head-to-head history, and home-field advantage all influence trader positioning. Weather conditions on match day and late-breaking tactical adjustments can also shift odds in the final hours. Social media sentiment, expert analysis, and sharp money flowing into either side may signal conviction shifts. Monitor official team communications and sports media closely—unexpected roster updates or injury reports often trigger rapid repricing across both platforms.