TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 1, 10:54 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming MLS game between St. Louis City SC and Real Salt Lake, scheduled for August 1, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "St. Louis City SC" if St. Louis City SC score more goals than Real Salt Lake in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if St. Louis City SC and Real Salt Lake score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Real Salt Lake" if Real Salt Lake score more goals than St. Louis City SC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming MLS game between St. Louis City SC and Real Salt Lake, scheduled for August 1, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "St. Louis City SC" if St. Louis City SC score more goals than Real Salt Lake in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if St. Louis City SC and Real Salt Lake score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Real Salt Lake" if Real Salt Lake score more goals than St. Louis City SC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they serve different purposes and audiences. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins, while this market is driven purely by trader demand and supply. Prediction markets typically reflect longer-term conviction and aggregate dispersed information across many participants, whereas sportsbooks may adjust quickly for sharp action or liability. Neither is inherently more accurate; they represent different pricing mechanisms and risk models.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader orders into real-time probabilities. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome, and the cumulative volume and order flow determine the displayed odds. The price you see reflects the marginal cost of the next trade, not a fixed line. As more capital flows into one outcome, its probability rises, creating a continuous price discovery mechanism that adjusts throughout the trading window.
This market resolves around Aug 2, 2026, once the St. Louis City SC versus Real Salt Lake match concludes and the second-half result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome is determined by the official final score recorded during the second half of play. Resolution occurs after the event is confirmed through standard sports data sources, ensuring accuracy and fairness for all traders.
Several factors can shift this market before resolution. Team news—injuries, lineup changes, or tactical announcements—often triggers repricing as traders reassess win probability. In-game events during the first half, such as an early goal or red card, can reshape expectations for the second-half outcome. Weather conditions, referee assignments, and recent form updates may also influence sentiment. Major betting action or social media momentum can accelerate moves, while quiet periods typically see tighter ranges as uncertainty remains high.