TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 1, 10:48 PM EST
Polymarket
More markets for the MLS game, scheduled for August 1 at 8:30 PM ET.
More markets for the MLS game, scheduled for August 1 at 8:30 PM ET.
Prediction market odds often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect real-time trader positioning rather than fixed odds set by oddsmakers. This market aggregates thousands of independent forecasters, which can lead to sharper or more volatile pricing than conventional betting venues. Comparing this market's implied probabilities to major sportsbook lines reveals where professional bettors and casual traders disagree, sometimes highlighting value or consensus shifts in real time.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that adjusts odds continuously as traders buy and sell outcome shares. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each contract represents a potential outcome, and the price of each share reflects the collective probability assigned by the market. Traders profit by correctly predicting which outcome will occur, with payouts determined by the final price of winning shares at resolution.
This market resolves around Aug 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winning contract will be determined by the actual result of the match, verified against authoritative sports data sources. Until that time, traders can continue to buy and sell shares, with prices fluctuating based on new information, team news, and shifting expectations.
Key catalysts include team roster changes, injury announcements, recent form and head-to-head records, and any tactical shifts disclosed before kickoff. Weather conditions at the venue, referee assignments, and late-breaking news about player availability can all shift trader sentiment. Additionally, movement in related markets—such as individual player performance contracts or league-wide outcomes—may influence how traders price this match as new information emerges.