This event group covers the MLS match between St. Louis City SC and Charlotte FC scheduled for February 21, 2026. Markets track three mutually exclusive outcomes: a draw, a St. Louis City SC win, or a Charlotte FC win, all evaluated at 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
Polymarket explicitly defines cancellation resolution (draw market resolves Yes, win markets resolve No), while Kalshi's terms do not address cancellation, leaving that edge case unspecified and potentially subject to platform discretion.
Hero Tip:
Verify Kalshi's official cancellation policy before trading. If the game is canceled with no make-up, Polymarket traders holding the draw market will win, but Kalshi's outcome is uncertain. This asymmetry creates basis risk between platforms.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket: Three separate binary markets: Draw (resolves Yes if draw or canceled with no make-up), Charlotte FC Win (resolves Yes if Charlotte wins, No if canceled), St. Louis City SC Win (resolves Yes if St. Louis wins, No if canceled). All evaluate 90 minutes plus stoppage time only. Source: MLS official schedule.
Kalshi: Three binary markets covering Tie, Saint Louis win, and Charlotte win outcomes, each resolving Yes if that outcome occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Cancellation protocol is not explicitly defined in provided terms, creating ambiguity.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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