TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 8:30 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming MLB game between the St. Louis Cardinals and Milwaukee Brewers, scheduled for September 26 at 7:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "St. Louis Cardinals" if the St. Louis Cardinals win the game. This market will resolve to "Milwaukee Brewers" if the Milwaukee Brewers win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
In the upcoming MLB game between the St. Louis Cardinals and Milwaukee Brewers, scheduled for September 26 at 7:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "St. Louis Cardinals" if the St. Louis Cardinals win the game. This market will resolve to "Milwaukee Brewers" if the Milwaukee Brewers win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can often differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven purely by traders' beliefs about the outcome. If there's significant disagreement between the two, it can present opportunities for arbitrage – betting on Polymarket to profit from the difference. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, and neither guarantees a correct prediction.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the St. Louis Cardinals versus Milwaukee Brewers game. This includes whether a run was scored in the first inning, as defined by official game statistics. The platform will verify the final score against these sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or changes to the starting lineups for either the Cardinals or the Brewers would likely cause significant movement. Weather forecasts, particularly if they predict conditions that favor one team's playing style, could also impact the market. Additionally, late-breaking news about pitching matchups or team morale could shift traders' expectations and alter the probabilities reflected in the price of shares on Polymarket.