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St. Louis Cardinals vs. Atlanta Braves - First 5 Innings Winner
kalshi
polymarket

Who will win the first 5 innings: Cardinals or Braves?

Volume:
$83,806

St. Louis wins first 5 innings

 - Kalshi

St. Louis wins first 5 innings - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 1, 2026

Closed: Jun 30, 8:44 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

St. Louis wins first 5 innings

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$20,064
N/A
N/A
$12,247
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Atlanta wins first 5 innings

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$49,788
N/A
N/A
$42,277
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$13,955
N/A
N/A
$6,990
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

St. Louis Cardinals

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
19.9¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Atlanta Braves

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers prediction markets on the outcome of the first 5 innings of the MLB game between the St. Louis Cardinals and Atlanta Braves scheduled for June 30, 2026 at 7:15 PM EDT. Markets resolve based on which team is ahead (or if tied) at the conclusion of the 5th inning.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi market structure resolves to Yes for all three mutually exclusive outcomes (Cardinals win, Braves win, tie), creating logical ambiguity. Polymarket uses three separate binary markets with mutually exclusive outcomes (Cardinals, Braves, Draw). The underlying event is identical, but the market mechanics diverge significantly.Hero tip: If Kalshi's market is intended as a Yes/No binary on game completion (not outcome), it resolves differently than Polymarket's outcome-based markets. Verify Kalshi's actual market intent before trading. Polymarket's structure is standard for first-5-inning outcome markets and should be treated as the reference logic.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Market structure resolves Yes for all three possible outcomes: Cardinals win, Braves win, or tie. No resolution path to No is specified. This suggests either a market completion tracker or a data entry error. Key Quote: All three outcome conditions resolve to Yes.
  • Polymarket: Three separate binary markets with mutually exclusive outcomes: Cardinals winning resolves to Cardinals, Braves winning resolves to Braves, tie resolves to Draw. Standard outcome-based structure with 50-50 resolution if game is canceled entirely and no makeup game scheduled.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming MLB game between the St. Louis Cardinals and Atlanta Braves, scheduled for June 30 at 7:15 PM ET: This market will resolve to "St. Louis Cardinals" if the St. Louis Cardinals is winning the game at the conclusion of the 5th inning. This market will resolve to "Atlanta Braves" if the Atlanta Braves is winning the game at the conclusion of the 5th inning. If the game is tied at the conclusion of the 5th inning, this market will resolve to "Draw". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the 5th inning has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on which team has the higher score at the end of the first five innings of the St. Louis vs Atlanta professional baseball game originally scheduled for June 30, 2026 at 7:15 PM EDT. If St. Louis has more runs after five innings, the St. Louis outcome resolves to Yes and others resolve to No. If Atlanta has more runs after five innings, the Atlanta outcome resolves to Yes and others resolve to No. If the score is tied after five innings, the Tie outcome resolves to Yes and both team outcomes resolve to No. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled game finishes within two days. The official score at the end of the fifth inning as recorded by Major League Baseball determines the result.