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406,065

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St. Louis Cardinals vs. Atlanta Braves
kalshi
polymarket

Who will win St. Louis Cardinals vs Atlanta Braves?

Volume:
$586,526

Spread -1.5

 - Polymarket

Spread -1.5 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 2, 2026

Closed: Jul 1, 7:15 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Spread -1.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$63,429
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

NRFI

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$818
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Yes

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$144,271
N/A
N/A
$119,263
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 5.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$492
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -2.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$53
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 4.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$45
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 3.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$36
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -3.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$35
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.9¢
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

St. Louis Cardinals vs. Atlanta Braves

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$346,124
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 9.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$29,689
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 8.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$400
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings Spread -2.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$222
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
0.8¢
N/A
$167
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 10.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$113
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$112
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 7.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$91
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$89
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$86
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$71
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Extra Innings

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$61
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -4.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$36
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -1.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$33
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$31
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 6.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 26

Description

This event group covers two distinct MLB prediction markets for the St. Louis Cardinals vs. Atlanta Braves game scheduled for July 1, 2026 at 7:15 PM ET: (1) the match winner market, and (2) the first-inning run-scoring market. Both markets share common postponement and cancellation rules but differ in their specific resolution outcomes.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms apply identical resolution logic: official MLB statistics as primary source, credible reporting as fallback, postponement remains open, cancellation with no makeup resolves 50-50, and ties resolve 50-50.Primary resolution logic: Official MLB final statistics published on MLB.com; credible reporting consensus if official stats unavailable within 24 hours of game conclusion

Core resolution logic:

  • Match Winner Market: resolves to St. Louis Cardinals if Cardinals win; resolves to Atlanta Braves if Braves win
  • First Inning Run Market: resolves to Yes if at least one run is scored by either team in the 1st inning; resolves to No if zero runs score in the 1st inning
  • Postponed games: markets remain open until the game is completed; check home team schedule on MLB.com for makeup game details
  • Canceled games with no makeup or tied games: both markets resolve 50-50
  • Resolution source hierarchy: (1) official governing body or event organizer final statistics, (2) consensus of credible reporting if official stats not published within 24 hours

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Game Postponement: If the game is postponed, all markets remain open until the game is completed. Bettors should monitor the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the makeup game date and time.
  • Game Cancellation: If the game is canceled entirely with no makeup game scheduled, both the match-winner and first-inning run markets resolve 50-50.
  • Tie Game: If the game ends in a tie (rare in MLB but possible in certain circumstances), the match-winner market resolves 50-50.
  • Delayed Official Statistics: If MLB does not publish official final statistics within 24 hours of game conclusion, resolution may proceed using consensus of credible reporting sources (e.g., ESPN, MLB.com game recap, official box score from secondary sources).
  • First Inning Definition: First inning run market counts any run scored by either team during the top and bottom of the 1st inning only; runs scored in subsequent innings do not affect this market.
Timing: Resolution occurs after the game concludes and official MLB final statistics are published, or within 24 hours if official stats are unavailable and credible reporting consensus is used. Postponed games remain open until makeup completion.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming MLB game between the St. Louis Cardinals and Atlanta Braves, scheduled for July 1 at 7:15PM ET: This market will resolve to "St. Louis Cardinals" if the St. Louis Cardinals win the game. This market will resolve to "Atlanta Braves" if the Atlanta Braves win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Kalshi

If either team scores a run in the first inning of the St. Louis vs Atlanta professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jun 30, 2026 at 7:15 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets and sportsbooks price sports events through different mechanisms. Sportsbooks set odds to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs through continuous order books or automated market makers. This market reflects what thousands of independent traders believe will happen, often incorporating real-time information faster than traditional sportsbooks adjust. Comparing the two can reveal gaps: if prediction market odds diverge significantly from sportsbook lines, it may indicate new information, sharp money movement, or differences in how each venue weights team strength and matchup dynamics.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts distinct trader demographics, liquidity pools, and fee structures that influence how prices settle. Polymarket and Kalshi may also have different contract specifications—for example, one might focus on the full-game outcome while the other tracks first-inning scoring or run differential. Regulatory frameworks and market-making incentives vary too, meaning arbitrage opportunities can persist between venues. Monitoring both helps you identify whether price gaps reflect genuine disagreement or temporary inefficiencies worth exploiting.

Key catalysts include roster changes, injury announcements, recent team performance trends, and head-to-head historical matchups. Weather conditions, home-field advantage, and bullpen availability often shift trader positioning closer to game time. Breaking news about player availability or lineup decisions can trigger sharp repricing. Additionally, movement in related markets—such as run-total or inning-specific props—may signal informed traders adjusting their view of the overall outcome. Monitor sports news feeds and platform activity to catch early signals before this market fully reprices.