TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 10, 11:46 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total runs scored by each team in an upcoming Caribbean Premier League cricket match between St. Kitts and Nevis Patriots and Barbados Royals. It focuses on whether each team will exceed specific run thresholds during their innings. The outcome depends entirely on the actual performance of the teams during the match.
The event evaluates multiple markets based on the total runs scored by each team in a specific Caribbean Premier League cricket match. Each market corresponds to a different run threshold for either St. Kitts and Nevis Patriots or Barbados Royals. If a team's total runs exceed the specified threshold, the respective market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. All markets share consistent secondary rules: if the match is cancelled before play begins, all markets resolve to fair market price. If play starts but no official result is declared (including via DLS), markets resolve to fair market price except for those based on already achieved statistics, which resolve on recorded results. If the match is shortened but an official result is declared, match winner markets resolve based on that result, while statistical markets resolve strictly on actual recorded statistics without projections. Additionally, if the match is delayed by more than 48 hours from its scheduled start time, all markets resolve to fair market price. The Exchange is not affiliated with the Governing League, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds based on models and public perception, while this market allows traders to express their own informed opinions. As more information becomes available—such as team lineups or weather forecasts—the prediction market odds can shift more rapidly than those at sportsbooks. It's common to see discrepancies, particularly before the event begins, as the market digests and reacts to new data. This dynamic pricing can sometimes offer opportunities for arbitrage.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices converge towards a fair value based on collective belief. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth, or the number of contracts available at various price points, also provides insights into the strength of conviction behind each outcome. This allows traders to assess the potential for price movement and make informed decisions.
This market resolves around Sep 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the total runs scored by each team in the St. Kitts and Nevis Patriots versus Barbados Royals match will be used to determine which team exceeded their respective run total. The official scorecards from the match will serve as the basis for verification. The market will settle to 100 for the winning outcome and 0 for the losing outcome, based on the actual runs scored.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding player injuries or changes to team lineups would likely cause significant movement. Weather forecasts are also crucial, as rain could potentially shorten the match or impact batting conditions. Pre-match analysis from cricket experts and commentators could also shift trader sentiment. Finally, any unexpected developments during the match itself—such as a particularly strong batting performance or a key wicket—could lead to rapid price adjustments in this market as traders react to the unfolding events.