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399,592

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St Kilda Saints vs. Carlton Blues
polymarket
kalshi

St Kilda Saints vs. Carlton Blues

Volume:
$27,397

Carlton Blues

 - Kalshi

Carlton Blues - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 11, 2026

Closed: Aug 9, 7:59 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Carlton Blues

View
100%
43%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$17,791
N/A
N/A
$16,702
Settled
Yes
kalshi

St Kilda Saints

View
0%
43%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,988
N/A
N/A
$7,802
Settled
No
polymarket

St Kilda Saints vs. Carlton Blues

View
0%
80%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$618
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group covers the professional AFL match between St Kilda Saints and Carlton Blues scheduled for August 9, 2026. The markets will resolve based on the official match result as determined by the Australian Football League.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both platforms resolve based on the official AFL result, with consistent handling of wins, draws, and incomplete/canceled matches.Primary resolution logic: Official Australian Football League results

Core resolution logic:

  • A win for St Kilda Saints resolves the market to St Kilda Saints
  • A win for Carlton Blues resolves the market to Carlton Blues
  • A draw or incomplete/canceled match resolves 50-50

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Delayed Results: If official AFL results are not published within 24 hours after the match, credible reporting may be used
  • Match Not Started: If the match does not begin or is canceled beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, it resolves 50-50
Timing: Resolution occurs after the official AFL result is published, or after 24 hours post-match if using credible reportingOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the AFL match between St Kilda Saints and Carlton Blues, scheduled for August 9 at 5:20AM ET. This market will resolve to "St Kilda Saints" if St Kilda Saints is officially credited with the match win. This market will resolve to "Carlton Blues" if Carlton Blues is officially credited with the match win. The official final result will be used, including extra time when the competition uses it. If the official result is a draw, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to a team only if that team is officially credited with the win; otherwise it will resolve 50-50. If the match does not begin, is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Australian Football League results. If official results have not been published within 24 hours after the match concludes, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Kalshi

The event determines the winner of the professional AFL game between Carlton Blues and St Kilda Saints scheduled for August 9, 2026. If Carlton Blues wins, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. If St Kilda Saints wins, their market resolves to Yes. Should the game end in a tie, both markets resolve to a 50/50 split. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two weeks beyond the original date, the markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the rules. Kalshi clarifies that it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the AFL Grand Final qualifier market aggregates real-time data from multiple venues, showing how traders price the chances of each team winning. It displays current probabilities, volume of $27,397, and 24-hour volume of $26,686, letting users see consensus views across Polymarket and Kalshi. This unified view helps participants spot trends and compare expectations for the match.

Key signals that could shift this market include injury updates to star players, changes in coaching strategies, weather forecasts affecting game conditions, and recent form in lead-up matches. Any unexpected developments — like a sudden player withdrawal or a strong performance in practice — may cause traders to reassess probabilities, leading to rapid price adjustments on both Polymarket and Kalshi as new information emerges.