TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 2, 10:58 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between St. Johnstone and Kilmarnock, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The result is determined by the final score after 90 minutes of regular play, including stoppage time, but excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event evaluates different winning margins in the St. Johnstone versus Kilmarnock Scottish Premiership match scheduled for August 2, 2026. Four distinct outcomes are considered: St. Johnstone winning by more than 2.5 goals, St. Johnstone winning by more than 1.5 goals, Kilmarnock winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Kilmarnock winning by more than 2.5 goals. All resolutions are based solely on the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with no consideration for extra time or penalty phases. The governing body’s official result determines the outcome, and Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the league or teams involved.
Prediction market odds in this market often reflect a more nuanced outlook than traditional sportsbook lines, incorporating real-time trader sentiment and detailed analysis. While sportsbooks set fixed spreads, prediction markets adjust dynamically based on participation, which can lead to tighter or wider spreads depending on recent performance, injuries, or strategic shifts by either team.
This market resolves around Aug 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final goal difference from the match will determine which side of the spread is correct, and contracts will settle accordingly based on that official result.
Injuries to key players, changes in team strategies, or recent form leading up to the match could shift this market. Traders will also react to any last-minute lineup announcements, weather conditions on game day, and broader momentum swings as the match approaches, all of which can cause rapid changes in odds.