TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$217,487,446
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,300,303,450
498,643
Markets across
13,761
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,763
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawks
Volume:
$19,917,656
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the CBB game between St. John's Red Storm and Kansas Jayhawks on March 22 at 5:15 PM ET. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's two markets both resolve YES for any outcome (either team winning), creating a logical contradiction that makes them fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket correctly structures winner-determination and prop markets with mutually exclusive outcomes. This is a data integrity failure on Kalshi's platform.Hero Tip:
Avoid Kalshi's moneyline markets entirely — they are logically broken and will resolve YES regardless of the game result. Trade only Polymarket's markets, which have proper winner-determination logic (St. John's vs Kansas) and well-defined prop markets (spreads and totals).Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Both markets state 'If St. John's wins... then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Kansas wins... then the market resolves to Yes.' This creates a logical contradiction where every possible outcome (St. John's win or Kansas win) resolves to YES, making the markets unresolvable and unhedgeable. Key quote: 'If St. John's wins the St. John's at Kansas men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kansas wins the St. John's at Kansas men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Aligned with proper market structure: Provides 24 well-defined markets with mutually exclusive outcomes. Winner-determination market resolves to either 'St. John's Red Storm' or 'Kansas Jayhawks' (not both). Spread markets (-1.5 through -12.5) and total markets (O/U 132.5 through 150.5) each have two mutually exclusive outcomes. Key quote: 'If the St. John's Red Storm win, the market will resolve to St. John's Red Storm. If the Kansas Jayhawks win, the market will resolve to Kansas Jayhawks.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.