St. Francis (PA) Red Flash vs. Mercyhurst Lakers (W)
Volume:
$12,704
Markets
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the women's college basketball matchup between St. Francis (PA) Red Flash and Mercyhurst Lakers scheduled for February 14, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET. The markets resolve based on which team wins the game, with provisions for postponement and cancellation scenarios.
Kalshi's resolution logic contains a logical contradiction where both mutually exclusive outcomes (Mercyhurst win and St. Francis win) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market unresolvable as written. Polymarket uses standard categorical resolution with clear team-name outcomes.
Hero Tip:
This is a critical data integrity failure on Kalshi. The market as stated cannot function because both outcomes cannot be Yes simultaneously. Before trading, contact Kalshi support to confirm whether the intended structure is a standard Yes/No binary (one team Yes, other No) or if the market terms need correction. Polymarket's structure is sound and resolvable.
Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi: Both possible game outcomes (Mercyhurst win and St. Francis win) are stated to resolve the market to Yes. This is logically impossible for a binary market. Key Quote: 'If Mercyhurst wins... resolves to Yes' AND 'If St. Francis wins... resolves to Yes.'
Polymarket: Categorical resolution where market resolves to the name of the winning team. St. Francis win resolves to 'St. Francis (PA) Red Flash', Mercyhurst win resolves to 'Mercyhurst Lakers'. Includes postponement (market stays open) and cancellation (50-50 split) provisions. Key Quote: 'If the St. Francis (PA) Red Flash win, the market will resolve to St. Francis (PA) Red Flash. If the Mercyhurst Lakers win, the market will resolve to Mercyhurst Lakers.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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