TOTAL VOLUME:
$53.9b
24H VOL:
$231,847,320
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,314,157,835
499,417
Markets across
14,310
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,754
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
St. Bonaventure Bonnies vs. VCU Rams (W)
Volume:
$31,896
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the women's college basketball game between St. Bonaventure Bonnies and VCU Rams scheduled for February 14, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET. Markets on both Kalshi and Polymarket are betting on the outcome of this single game, with different resolution mechanics but aligned underlying logic.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi employs binary Yes/No resolution for either outcome, while Polymarket uses categorical winner naming. Kalshi omits explicit cancellation and postponement protocols that Polymarket defines.Hero Tip:
Polymarket's 50-50 cancellation rule and postponement clarity make it the safer contract. Kalshi's ambiguity on game cancellation creates settlement risk. If betting both platforms, treat Polymarket as your primary hedge.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Binary Yes resolution: both St. Bonaventure win and VCU win resolve to Yes. No explicit rules for postponement or cancellation. Key Quote: If St. Bonaventure wins the game originally scheduled for Feb 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If VCU wins, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Polymarket: Categorical resolution naming the winner (St. Bonaventure Bonnies or VCU Rams). Explicit postponement rule: market remains open. Explicit cancellation rule: resolves 50-50 if no make-up game. Key Quote: If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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