TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
St. Bonaventure Bonnies vs. George Washington Revolutionaries
Volume:
$257,829
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
A men's college basketball game between St. Bonaventure Bonnies and George Washington Revolutionaries scheduled for March 4, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. Markets cover moneyline (winner), point spread, and over/under total points across multiple thresholds.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's moneyline market contains a logical contradiction: both possible outcomes (St. Bonaventure win and George Washington win) are mapped to the same resolution (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable and unable to differentiate between outcomes.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline market. It will always resolve Yes regardless of which team wins, providing no actual price discovery or risk transfer. Use Polymarket's moneyline instead, which properly maps each team to a distinct outcome. All spread and over/under markets on both platforms are logically sound.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Moneyline market resolves Yes for both St. Bonaventure win and George Washington win. Key Quote: 'If St. Bonaventure wins the St. Bonaventure at George Washington men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If George Washington wins the St. Bonaventure at George Washington men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.' This creates a tautology where the market outcome is predetermined regardless of game result.
- Polymarket: Moneyline market resolves to the winning team's name. Spread markets resolve based on margin of victory thresholds (-9.5 and -8.5 for George Washington). Over/under markets resolve based on combined score thresholds (157.5, 158.5, 159.5). All outcomes are mutually exclusive and logically coherent. Key Quote: 'If the St. Bonaventure Bonnies win, the market will resolve to St. Bonaventure Bonnies. If the George Washington Revolutionaries win, the market will resolve to George Washington Revolutionaries.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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