TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 12, 8:34 AM EST
Kalshi
A professional baseball game between two teams is scheduled for Jun 12, 2026 at 5:30 AM EDT, with multiple conditions based on the margin of victory for each team.
The event consists of four separate run-spread markets for the SSG Landers vs Samsung Lions Korea KBO game scheduled for June 12, 2026 at 5:30 AM EDT. Each market resolves to Yes based on the final margin of victory: Samsung Lions winning by more than 2.5 runs, Samsung Lions winning by more than 1.5 runs, SSG Landers winning by more than 1.5 runs, or SSG Landers winning by more than 2.5 runs. Resolution is determined by the final official game score.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi often diverge from traditional sportsbook spreads because they reflect a different participant base and incentive structure. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk; prediction markets aggregate beliefs from traders risking real capital. For the SSG Landers vs Samsung Lions spread, comparing Kalshi implied probabilities to major sportsbook lines can reveal whether traders are more or less confident than oddsmakers. These differences typically narrow closer to game time as information converges.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, the SSG Landers vs Samsung Lions spread is priced as a binary contract reflecting whether the actual run margin will fall within or outside a specified range. Traders buy and sell shares at prices between 0 and 100 cents, with the price representing the market's implied probability of that outcome. Volume and liquidity on Kalshi determine how quickly prices respond to new information about team form, injuries, or weather. The contract settles after the game concludes and the final spread is confirmed.
The market resolves on Jun 12, 2026, following the conclusion of the SSG Landers vs Samsung Lions game. Resolution is determined by the final official run differential between the two teams as recorded by the KBO League. Once the game ends and the final score is confirmed, the spread outcome is established and the market settles accordingly. Traders should monitor official league sources for any postponements or rescheduling that might affect the resolution date.
Key catalysts include roster changes, injury announcements to star players, recent team performance trends, and head-to-head matchup history. Weather conditions at game time—particularly wind direction and temperature—can significantly impact run scoring and shift spread expectations. Betting line movements from major sportsbooks often precede prediction market adjustments as sharp bettors react first. Team momentum, starting pitcher form, and any late-breaking lineup news will influence trader positioning in the final hours before the game.