TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 6, 4:21 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a baseball game between two teams, focusing on the margin of victory. It evaluates whether one team wins by a specific number of runs or more, providing different thresholds for resolution. The result depends entirely on the final score of the game.
The event encompasses four distinct outcome thresholds for the SSG Landers vs NC Dinos Korea KBO game scheduled for August 7, 2026. Each threshold specifies a different run-differential requirement for resolution, with two separate thresholds for each team: one for winning by over 1.5 runs and another for winning by over 2.5 runs. If the NC Dinos win by more than 2.5 runs, or by more than 1.5 runs, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. Similarly, if the SS Landers win by more than 1.5 runs, or by more than 2.5 runs, the respective market resolves to Yes. All markets share the same underlying game and time, and the disclaimers clarify that the platform is not officially affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds in this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to the speculative nature of trader activity and the ability to bet on finer outcome gradations. While sportsbooks set a fixed spread and odds, prediction markets let participants adjust prices dynamically, which can lead to tighter spreads or larger divergences depending on recent performance and public sentiment.
This market resolves around Aug 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official game statistics, specifically the difference in runs scored by the two teams at the end of play.
Injuries to key players, pitching changes, weather conditions affecting game dynamics, and recent performance trends can all shift trader sentiment. Any unexpected developments — such as a star player being ruled out or a sudden surge in team performance — may cause rapid price adjustments in this market as participants reassess probabilities.