TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 21, 8:04 AM EST
Kalshi
This baseball game between SSG Landers and Lotte Giants is scheduled for July 21, 2026. The markets track whether the combined run total from both teams exceeds various thresholds during the game.
Resolution depends on the total runs scored by both SSG Landers and Lotte Giants combined in their Korea KBO game on July 21, 2026 at 5:30 AM EDT. Each market outcome corresponds to a specific run threshold: outcomes resolve to Yes if the combined total exceeds 5.5, 7.5, 9.5, or 11.5 runs respectively. The game's official final score determines resolution.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one are driven by trader consensus and real-money conviction. This market may price outcomes differently than major sportsbooks, especially as new information emerges closer to game time. Comparing the two can reveal where the crowd sees value or where sharp money is flowing, though prediction market prices tend to converge toward actual outcomes as resolution approaches.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through continuous order-book trading, where buyers and sellers submit bids and offers for run-total contracts. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Prices reflect the marginal trade—the last executed transaction—and shift dynamically as new orders arrive. Traders can place limit or market orders to enter or exit positions, and the spread between bid and ask widens or tightens based on liquidity and uncertainty. As the game nears, volatility and trading volume typically increase, moving prices toward the true expected outcome.
This market resolves around Jul 21, 2026, once the SSG Landers versus Lotte Giants game concludes and the final run total is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the combined runs scored by both teams through the end of regulation play. Traders holding positions will see their contracts settled based on whether the actual total falls above or below the strike price they backed. Resolution typically occurs within hours of game completion, pending official confirmation.
Several catalysts can shift prices in this market before Jul 21, 2026. Roster changes, injuries to key batters or pitchers, weather forecasts (wind direction and temperature affect ball carry), and recent team form all influence run-scoring expectations. Betting line movement at major sportsbooks often precedes prediction market moves, as sharp bettors act first. Pregame commentary, umpire assignments, and ballpark conditions can also trigger repricing. As game time approaches, any last-minute lineup adjustments or weather updates will likely drive volatility and trading volume higher.